000			01711nam a22002177a 4500
999			_c4933 _d4933
005			20230125145645.0
008			230125b ||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
020			_a9780471295631
082			_a368.009 _bBER
100			_aBernstein, Peter L. _911179
245			_aAgainst the Gods: _bthe remarkable story of risk
260			_bJohn Wiley & Sons, Inc. _aNew York _c1998
300			_axi, 383 p.
365			_aUSD _b22.95
504			_aTABLE OF CONTENTS Acknowledgments ix Introduction 1 TO 1200: BEGINNINGS 1. The Winds of the Greeks and the Role of the Dice 11 2. As Easy as I, II, III 23 1200–1700: A THOUSAND OUTSTANDING FACTS 3. The Renaissance Gambler 39 4. The French Connection 57 5. The Remarkable Notions of the Remarkable Notions Man 73 1700–1900: MEASUREMENT UNLIMITED 6. Considering the Nature of Man 99 7. The Search for Moral Certainty 116 8. The Supreme Law of Unreason 135 9. The Man with the Sprained Brain 152 10. Peapods and Perils 172 11. The Fabric of Felicity 187 1900–1960: CLOUDS OF VAGUENESS AND THE DEMAND FOR PRECISION 12. The Measure of Our Ignorance 197 13. The Radically Distinct Notion 215 14. The Man Who Counted Everything Except Calories 231 15. The Strange Case of the Anonymous Stockbroker 247 DEGREES OF BELIEF:EXPLORING UNCERTAINTY 16. The Failure of Invariance 269 17. The Theory Police 284 18. The Fantastic System of Side Bets 304 19. Awaiting the Wildness 329 Notes 339 Bibliography 353 Name Index 365 Subject Index 369
520			_a.
650			_aRisk management _9177
650			_aDecision making _9401
650			_aRisk--Social aspects _911606
942			_2ddc _cBK