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008 211101b ||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
020 _a9781316606209
082 _a519.542
_bPET
100 _aPeterson, Martin
_93212
245 _aAn introduction to decision theory
250 _a2nd
260 _bCambridge University Press
_aNew York
_c2021
300 _ax, 339 p.
365 _aGBP
_b22.99
504 _aTable of Contents Preface 1. Introduction 2. The decision matrix 3. Decisions under ignorance 4. Decisions under risk 5. Utility 6. The mathematics of probability 7. The philosophy of probability 8. Bayesianism and pragmatic arguments 9. Causal vs evidential decision theory 10. Risk aversion 11. Game theory I: basic concepts and zero-sum games 12. Game theory II: nonzero-sum and cooperative games 13. Social choice theory 14. Overview of descriptive decision theory Appendix A. Glossary Further reading Index.
520 _aDescriptionContentsResourcesCoursesAbout the Authors Now revised and updated, this introduction to decision theory is both accessible and comprehensive, covering topics including decision making under ignorance and risk, the foundations of utility theory, the debate over subjective and objective probability, Bayesianism, causal decision theory, game theory, and social choice theory. No mathematical skills are assumed, with all concepts and results explained in non-technical and intuitive as well as more formal ways. There are now over 140 exercises with solutions, along with a glossary of key terms and concepts. This second edition includes a new chapter on risk aversion as well as updated discussions of numerous central ideas, including Newcomb's problem, prisoner's dilemmas, and Arrow's impossibility theorem. The book will appeal particularly to philosophy students but also to readers in a range of disciplines, from computer science and psychology to economics and political science.
650 _aBayesian statistical decision theory
_91505
650 _aDecision making
_9401
650 _aDecision making--Mathematical models
_91481
942 _2ddc
_cBK