TY - BOOK AU - McDowall, David TI - Interrupted time series analysis T2 - Quantitative applications in the social sciences SN - 9780803914933 U1 - 519.550243 PY - 1980/// CY - Beverly Hills PB - Sage Publications, Inc. KW - Social sciences--Statistical methods KW - Time-series analysis KW - Social sciences--Mathematical models N2 - Description Describes ARIMA or Box Tiao models, widely used in the analysis of interupted time series quasi-experiments, assuming no statistical background beyond simple correlation. The principles and concepts of ARIMA time series analyses are developed and applied where a discrete intervention has impacted a social system. '...this is the kind of exposition I wished I had had some ten years ago when venturing into the world of autoregressive, moving-average (ARIMA) models of time-series analysis...This monograph nicely lays out a method for assessing the impact of a discrete policy or event of some importance on behavior which can be continuously observed...If widely used, as I hope, it will save a generation of social scientists from the labor of having to learn this methodology the hard way...' -- Helmut Norpoth, State University of New York ER -