Uncertainty deconstructed: (Record no. 5037)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 02261nam a22002177a 4500
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20230314153939.0
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 230314b ||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER
International Standard Book Number 9783031080067
082 ## - DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION NUMBER
Classification number 658.40388
Item number GAR
100 ## - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Garvey, Bruce
245 ## - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Uncertainty deconstructed:
Remainder of title a guidebook for decision support practitioners
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT)
Name of publisher, distributor, etc. Springer
Place of publication, distribution, etc. Switzerland
Date of publication, distribution, etc. 2022
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent xxiv, 304 p.
365 ## - TRADE PRICE
Price type code EURO
Price amount 74.99
490 ## - SERIES STATEMENT
Series statement Science, technology and Innovation studies
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. This book argues that uncertainty is not really uncertainty at all but just demonstrates a lack of vision and willingness to think about the unthinkable – good and bad. The task of accepting that uncertainty is about exploring the possible, rather than the impossible has to be taken on board by strategists, policy developers, and political leaders, if we are to meet the challenges that an ever changing world is throwing at us. The term “unknown – unknowns” is ubiquitous, albeit the vast majority of future uncertain events do not fall into this category. However, it has been used to absolve decision makers from criticism post-event, whereas poor foresight is the prime culprit and that most future uncertainties are “known-unknowns” or “inevitable surprises”. <br/><br/>This re-positioning of uncertainties can help mitigate the impact of such risks through better foresight aware contingency planning. The enemy is not uncertainty itself but our lack of imagination when trying to visualize the future – we need to transform our behaviour. To better understand uncertainty we have to deconstruct it and get to grips with its component parts. Three main questions are posed and practical approaches presented: What are the main structural components that make up the conditions under which uncertainty operates? What scenario lenses can be used when exploring uncertainty? What behavioural factors do we need to consider when analysing the human responses to uncertainty? Practitioners, having to deal with making better decisions under uncertainty, will find the book a useful guide.
650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Decision making--Data processing
700 ## - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Humzah, Dowshan
700 ## - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Roux, Storm Le
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Source of classification or shelving scheme Dewey Decimal Classification
Koha item type Book
Holdings
Withdrawn status Lost status Source of classification or shelving scheme Damaged status Not for loan Collection code Bill No Bill Date Home library Current library Shelving location Date acquired Source of acquisition Cost, normal purchase price Total Checkouts Full call number Accession Number Date last seen Copy number Cost, replacement price Price effective from Koha item type
    Dewey Decimal Classification     IT & Decisions Sciences IN378 20-02-2023 Indian Institute of Management LRC Indian Institute of Management LRC General Stacks 03/14/2023 Bharatiya Sahitya Bhavana 4531.21   658.40388 GAR 004707 03/14/2023 1 6891.58 03/14/2023 Book

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